Category Archives: Market Thoughts

There have been a lot of articles on gold recently, ranging from positive to negative on the technicals (depending on what you see as the start of the underlying trend), and a big range of predictions again on the based … Continue reading →

I always get more excited when I look and see red in the market, because It makes me feel like I have an opportunity to get something. When its all green I’m more likely to just add to my watch … Continue reading →

I have to admit, I’m quite amazed at how much the market has been dropping since the election. Sure, other things are happening as as well – major strikes across Spain, Portugal and Greece, an Israeli strike in Palestine killing … Continue reading →

The recent largess or Ben Bernanke, announcing his purchase of $50bn a month ongoing of government guaranteed mortgages probably has many worried about inflation coming ahead. It is certainly worth protecting against, but the liquidity simply isn’t turning into increased … Continue reading →

It’s been a while since I wrote, but my core themes haven’t really changed.  I still believe a fiscal retrenchment is coming by year end with a rally in bonds, particularly the safer municipals.  Aside from a covered call on FTE being called, and switching … Continue reading →

The VIX has been surprisingly low lately, given the escalating debt concerns and austerity packages in Europe, the inflation concerns in China and Brazil, and the rapid pace of regulatory change in the US.  There are 2 ETF’s which are … Continue reading →

Natural gas seems to have lost momentum with the seeming collapse of Cap-and-Trade.  California seems like the notable exception on this end.  However, when you look at what the EPA is doing right now you’ll see that the efforts to … Continue reading →

I am still sitting on an account half filled with uninvested cash.  The rest is in exchange-traded income securities, split between A rated debt and a few preferreds in citibank and others paying 6-8%.  I also have a bit in … Continue reading →

All of the articles about currency wars,QE2, and more calling for China to revalue its currency seem to be producing a mania of sorts against the US dollar.  It seems incredible that for the first time, US TIPS (Treasury Inflation Protected Securities) … Continue reading →

A couple of interesting things from the Dave Rosenberg newsletter today, quote: Guido Mantega, Brazil’s Finance Minister, had (this) to say yesterday:  “We’re in the midst of an international currency war, a general weakening of currency. This threatens us because … Continue reading →