Author Archives: johnonstocks

About johnonstocks

I've been trading stocks since 2003, active on Motley Fool's discussion boards and using first Hidden Gems, then Global Gains. I no longer have the newsletters, but I keep up on the WSJ and read David Rosenberg everyday at gluskinsheff.com. Education: CFA level 2 candidate MBA-focus in Finance, Marshall, University of Southern California - expected Dec 2010. BS Mechanical Engineering, UC San Diego, June 2002

The Anti-Fundamentals Paradigm from Passive Investing

I listened to an interesting podcast with Mike Green this week about the implications of passive investing. This isn’t new, and I’ve heard some of this before, but he mentioned a number of implications I thought of and something clicked. … Continue reading

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Performance and Allocation Self-Reflection Time

The last couple of weeks have been pretty wild as far as market movements. As such, I’ve done a significant amount of trading. Meanwhile, with a labor day weekend in Ensenada, Mexico I haven’t had time to add up all … Continue reading

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Crazy week for Uranium & Labor Day Weekend

I’m writing this blog from my friend’s place in Ensenada, at the beautiful Ochentos Pizza. I drove down Friday evening, had a nice relaxing weekend, and now I’m contemplating the drive up north. Last week, the spot price of Uranium … Continue reading

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It’s too early to taper, stocks rise on decision

On Friday, we had one of the most anticipated events in the asset markets, often more important than earnings: A policy announcement from the Federal Reserve. Ultimately, Fed Chair Powell announced that it is too early to taper bond purchases … Continue reading

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Gold and Silver Miners get Crushed

Junior Gold Miner index above, back at 2019 levels when gold was in the 1400’s. The larger gold miners in the GDX index isn’t as bad, but still fell below it’s Feb 2019 high. Junior silver miner index above, also … Continue reading

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Why I find Gold’s smackdown bullish

Last Sunday, an enormous number of gold contracts were dumped on the futures market, crashing the price below 1680 before it reversed. The week prior, gold was trading over 1800. This activity may seem strange, but it is very common … Continue reading

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Feeling a bit cautious

We’re at an interesting point in the market where it could be turning but it is certainly difficult to read. Chinese tech is still under pressure while the US Nasdaq remains near all time highs. Breadth is still low, meaning … Continue reading

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QE, Margin Debt and Eurodollar Shortages

I’ll start with a chart on margin debt from Margin Debt and the Market: Up 2.4% in June, Continues Record Trend – dshort – Advisor Perspectives I’ve seen some tweets on Margin Debt starting to roll over, but the latest … Continue reading

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Bonds soar as Commodities struggle

It’s been a rough month for commodities in general. My last 4 weeks of performance were -10.8%, +2.9%, +0.4%, -0.9%. It looks even worse when you look at the miners: I own all of these names above, and they make … Continue reading

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Significant rally in US treasuries capped with Friday selloff

It’s been quite a week for the US Long Bond: I actually think that the TLT rally we see still has legs to it. There are a number of reasons to expect economic weakness and reduced CPI going forward including … Continue reading

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