Author Archives: johnonstocks

About johnonstocks

I've been trading stocks since 2003, active on Motley Fool's discussion boards and using first Hidden Gems, then Global Gains. I no longer have the newsletters, but I keep up on the WSJ and read David Rosenberg everyday at gluskinsheff.com. Education: CFA level 2 candidate MBA-focus in Finance, Marshall, University of Southern California - expected Dec 2010. BS Mechanical Engineering, UC San Diego, June 2002

Inverted Yield Curve

Markets have continued to see pressure ever since Thanksgiving, as seen in the significant pullbacks in the S&P 500, the junk bond index JNK, commodities like gold, silver and oil, and cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin. The yield curve inverted as shown … Continue reading

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Inflation, Deflation & Omicron: Tight supplies with a dollar shortage.

I’ll start today by summarizing my take on the new Omicron strain. Omicron has spread widely in the region of South Africa it was discovered. Cases have also been detected in a number of other countries including Botswana, Hong Kong, … Continue reading

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Precious Metals Season is Next

During Thanksgiving week, it is normal for precious metals and the miners to get crushed prior to the options expiration, which comes on 11/23 this week. This effect is magnified in the mining stocks. Here’s a quick look at the … Continue reading

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Opportunities in a crazy market

My portfolio value hit a decent milestone this past week, finally eclipsing it’s prior peak back in January 2021. Corrected for cash added from paychecks, the valuation rose 26% rise in the last 5 weeks, after falling 14% the previous … Continue reading

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Melt-up underway?

It’s not often you see an $1.2 Trillion market cap company jump 50% in value in a few short weeks. How does that happen? Short squeeze & Gamma squeeze. It has nothing to do with a potential deal with Hertz. … Continue reading

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Santa Claus Rally?

Bullish Case At the end of the year, you often hear about the Santa Claus rally, where stocks do seasonally well in November and December. The two most important charts on this are the ones I posted last week and … Continue reading

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Minneapolis

I’m writing today from Minneapolis, where I had a week-long visit with my brother and a job interview. It’s interesting to consider what it would be like moving out here. I’ve lived in many parts of the country in the … Continue reading

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A Fantastic Week for my Portfolio

I’m going to have to make this week’s post short – my brother’s over with his 4 kids so breaking away to write is not easy. It’s certainly been an eventful week though, my portfolio value jumped by over 10%. … Continue reading

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Ready for an end-of-year Crypto rally?

Last week, I wrote a post on seasonality, showing the following chart for Bitcoin: As you can see, for the last 5 years Bitcoin has always gone down in September. Then it would rally strong in October. The exception was … Continue reading

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Seasonality & Charts in TLT, SPY, GDX & BTC

I’ve been thinking more about seasonality lately as we come into 4th quarter. First, it is important to think about what seasonality is telling you. At a surface glance, it’s just telling you the number of times that the underlying … Continue reading

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