Monthly Archives: April 2022

Golden Week, A Buying Opportunity

We’ve been having one of those months that makes all investors feel stupid. I’m down 7% on the week, down 19.5% on the month, down 14.6% YTD, and down 11.8% on the last year. If you’re interested in these little … Continue reading

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Will we see a melt-up prior to the market crash everyone expects?

It’s been quite a week, with a big selloff starting on Thursday and continuing into Friday. My portfolio is actually down 7% on the week, which is quite remarkable given my heavy weighting in cash. In addition, I actually had … Continue reading

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Preparing for late-cycle tightening

Wealthion had a some interesting podcasts on YouTube this last week, first with Dave Rosenberg and Stephanie Pomboy, then with Michael Pento. Same rough idea with both – prepare for the coming recession with a potentially nasty bear market. Here’s … Continue reading

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Top-ticking interest rates

In the current environment, I see the biggest chance to make outsized returns as top-ticking interest rates through calls on TLT. It is obviously a high-risk play, as these things can go to zero if TLT simply goes nowhere long … Continue reading


Bearish decline imminent? Not quite yet.

The famous 2’s-10’s treasury curve inverted a couple times this week, and yield curve inversions are becoming more regular topics in the circles of FinTwit (Financial Twitter). At the same time, it seems like to many people are nervous or … Continue reading